Are we in a recession yet?

While the rule of thumb indicates recession as two consecutive quarters of falling real GDP, many institutions look also into other variables to confirm economic downturn. This usually includes consumer and business spending, industrial production and labour market. Current situation is widely recognized by experts as a ‘technical recession’ that is likely to turn into a real recession event over the next few months. Here are few key reasons this may occur:   Preceding Economic Overheating Conditions Economists agree that overheating suggests a very high probability of recession (Alex Domash, Lawrence H. Summers, 13 April 2022 link). There are many…

Airbnb, from IPO to profitability

“We believe that the lines between travel and living are blurring, and the global pandemic has accelerated the ability to live anywhere” “Work-from-home became work-from-any-home on Airbnb.” “Idea of strangers staying together, in each others’ homes, was not so crazy after all,” Brian Chesky, Airbnb CEO   The flotation comes at the time of an enthusiastic stock market and when investor appetite for tech companies is soaring. Price of $68 per share for 51,323,531 and $47b valuation fetched ahead of the listing. topped the initial target range of $44-$50 and the final price range of $56-$60 raised on the back…

Value vs Growth

Analysts like to categorize stocks as either value or growth. This is done with the caveat that some stocks resemble both types, or cannot be clearly categorized as either. Knowing the difference between two is essential to assess the risk and the opportunities for your portfolio. This article will briefly introduce characteristics of growth and value investments. It will also clarify what are desirable outcomes for growth and value investors, what are the risks and more importantly the opportunity costs for both investment styles. Let’s start with a simple description.   Growth Stocks Shares of the companies that are experiencing…

Lost decade for the UK investors

The United Kingdom is still home to one of the most important capital markets in the world (although in terms of market capitalization UK was overtaken by Japan, China, Hong Kong over the last decade). Its popular market index FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 are still relevant not only to the UK and European but also to US and Global Investors who want to gain diversified international exposure. Despite its importance, the UK indexes have been underperforming over the last decade. Currently trading at close to 30% valuation discount to its global peers, which is close to 30-year lows. Over…

Who owns the US stock market?

US stock-market is largest in the world and continue to be among the deepest, most liquid and most efficient markets. US market depth and breadth enables individual investors diverse choice like no other markets. Also dominant position of multinational corporations listed in US allows for global geographical diversification of the revenues which makes them more resilient but also allows to rip some benefits of the growth in Emerging Economies. While US Remains the world’s largest economy since 1871, currently at 23.6% share (GDP of $21.44t); US stock-market represents much bigger portion of the world’s equities at 54.5%. Given its dominance,…